Monday, January 10, 2011

Making Money With Options

Luck's father, Oliver, says the decision was based purely on "staying in a place he loves, playing beside teammates he adores and getting the degree he covets." Perhaps, I can relate to Luck better than some because I have the perspective of a 19-year-old high school senior that wants nothing more than to be in college right now instead of high school.


Being a senior in high school is not a horrible experience by any means, but right now, if I could be anywhere I wanted, I would be a second-semester freshman in college. Maybe a lot of high school seniors say that, but I am in my 14th consecutive year at the same independent private school. I have gone to school with more or less the same people for that entire time. I am ready to change schools, take some new classes, meet new people, and leave home. So when Andrew Luck announced he wanted to stay at school instead of going pro, I totally understood how he felt. I wouldn't want to leave school either.


On another note, even though the current NFL Collective Bargaining situation reported influenced Luck's decision very little, it is still a major issue worth examining in the context of Luck's decision. A major crticism of Luck is that he will lose tens of millions of dollars for not turning pro.


On the surface, that is almost guaranteed to be true even if his draft stock doesn't go down at all, and he doesn't get hurt playing for Stanford next year or the year after that because the new CBA realistically has to have a rookie payscale, which would result in Luck receiving a significantly smaller salary than the one he would have gotten had he gone pro this year.


But a closer analysis of the broad financial picture reveals that Luck made a sensible decision that very few big-time college athletes are capable of making. Assuming Luck gets his architectural design degree, he will still be set up to make good money regardless of what happens to his football career.


If something bad happens, he has a college degree to fall back on. If he plays for 20 years and makes more money than most of us will see in our lives, then he will have options for a real job beyond football if he wants to leave. Most former players who don't want to coach or don't make good coaches and don't have enough education, end up on the street because they spend too much money during their playing careers. By getting a degree, Luck assures himself that he will not share that future.


Andrew Luck has the right ideas of how to build a successful future. The rest of the world of big-time college athletics should take notice. And his critics should think twice before saying anything.











Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images




It was only a couple months ago that the Rangers were (near) the top of the baseball world.  They fulfilled their role as David, when slaying the Goliath Yankees, and endeared themselves to millions of baseball fans across the country with their love of all things hustle.

But things changed for the Rangers in a New York minute (you knew that New York would get back in the discussion) when Cliff Lee, their undisputed ace, shocked the baseball world and fled back to Philadelphia.  Just like that, the Rangers rotation—a strength—turned into a weakness.  Panic spread across Texas.

So they did what any right-minded club would do—go sign the next biggest name available.  Because if you can't have the prom queen, you should at least get her still cute best friend...right?  Except in this case, it's wrong...very wrong.

The Rangers are closing in on signing 3B Adrian Beltre to a 6-year, $96 million dollar deal that frankly makes, well, no sense.  There are definitely positives to Beltre—he's coming off a big season, he's one of the best fielding third baseman (and players) in all of baseball, and he does have a power bat.  But for the few reasons that the deal does make some sense, there are many more reasons why it doesn't. 

Why?  Let's break it down:

  • Beltre will be 32 years old a week into the season—not ancient—but definitely edging towards the downside of his career.  On top of that, this will be his 14th season.  If there's such a thing as a "young" veteran, Beltre isn't it.  Do you really see this guy still going strong when he's in his 17th, 18th or 19th year of his career (or the second half of his contract)?
  • In 13 previous seasons, Beltre has made the postseason ONCE!  That was in 2004-2005, while still with the Dodgers.  Beltre's line was .267 AVG, one RBI, zero extra-base hits, three K's, zero BB's—a series that saw the Dodgers lose handily to the Cardinals in four games.  For the record, that was the same year he had his breakout season, when he finished second in the NL MVP race.
  • Beltre is notorious for having big years in the last year of his contract (see 2004 with Dodgers, 2010 with Boston).  I think we saw with Seattle what happens when the guy isn't as motivated to play for the next big contract
  • Texas is a SMALL market team.  Giving an aging player a deal averaging $16 million a year is ABSURD.  Look at the Yankees with A-Rod.  A-Rod is making $30 million a year for the next eight seasons, yet is already being hampered with injuries.  Throwing this amount of money at guys over 30 years old with 10+ years of experience is a huge risk, especially for a team like Texas. 
  • As a team, Texas had a salary of around $55 million last year, which ranked 26th in the majors.  That means that they're going to give Beltre a contract that composes nearly 29 percent of their salary from last season.  
  • How was this the price set for Beltre this offseason?  Carlos Gonzalez—a much younger OF coming off a major season, who has more upside than Beltre,  just agreed to a seven-year, $80 million deal with Colorado.  Are we to believe that Beltre is worth $16 million more (and a year less) than CarGo?
  • Where is Michael Young going?  Remember, your CURRENTLY highest-paid player who JUST HAPPENS to play third base.  He has three more years left on his deal, worth $48 million.  Are the Rangers ready to eat $16 million a year for Young to have Beltre play the same position?  Young is 34 years old and has a big contract for the next three seasons.  What team is going to be willing to eat that amount of money while taking Young on the downside of his career?  On top of that, Young has a no-trade clause in his contract with 22 teams on it, further limiting the options the Rangers have with him. 

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With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

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TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...


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Transfer <b>news</b>: Arsenal to move for Gary Cahill or Per Mertesacker <b>...</b>

With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

TaxProf Blog: 2011 Tax <b>News</b>

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...


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AOL Hires Fox <b>News</b> Vet To Double AOL.com Traffic By End Of Winter

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Transfer <b>news</b>: Arsenal to move for Gary Cahill or Per Mertesacker <b>...</b>

With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

TaxProf Blog: 2011 Tax <b>News</b>

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...


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AOL Hires Fox <b>News</b> Vet To Double AOL.com Traffic By End Of Winter

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Transfer <b>news</b>: Arsenal to move for Gary Cahill or Per Mertesacker <b>...</b>

With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

TaxProf Blog: 2011 Tax <b>News</b>

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...


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AOL Hires Fox <b>News</b> Vet To Double AOL.com Traffic By End Of Winter

This might actually be a smart move - the audience is exactly what "wtfinator" described. The news team there is often called out for leaning left in the comments on any stories posted on aol.com. Plays to their core. ...

Transfer <b>news</b>: Arsenal to move for Gary Cahill or Per Mertesacker <b>...</b>

With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

TaxProf Blog: 2011 Tax <b>News</b>

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...


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AOL Hires Fox <b>News</b> Vet To Double AOL.com Traffic By End Of Winter

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Transfer <b>news</b>: Arsenal to move for Gary Cahill or Per Mertesacker <b>...</b>

With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

TaxProf Blog: 2011 Tax <b>News</b>

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...


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AOL Hires Fox <b>News</b> Vet To Double AOL.com Traffic By End Of Winter

This might actually be a smart move - the audience is exactly what "wtfinator" described. The news team there is often called out for leaning left in the comments on any stories posted on aol.com. Plays to their core. ...

Transfer <b>news</b>: Arsenal to move for Gary Cahill or Per Mertesacker <b>...</b>

With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

TaxProf Blog: 2011 Tax <b>News</b>

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...


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AOL Hires Fox <b>News</b> Vet To Double AOL.com Traffic By End Of Winter

This might actually be a smart move - the audience is exactly what "wtfinator" described. The news team there is often called out for leaning left in the comments on any stories posted on aol.com. Plays to their core. ...

Transfer <b>news</b>: Arsenal to move for Gary Cahill or Per Mertesacker <b>...</b>

With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

TaxProf Blog: 2011 Tax <b>News</b>

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...


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AOL Hires Fox <b>News</b> Vet To Double AOL.com Traffic By End Of Winter

This might actually be a smart move - the audience is exactly what "wtfinator" described. The news team there is often called out for leaning left in the comments on any stories posted on aol.com. Plays to their core. ...

Transfer <b>news</b>: Arsenal to move for Gary Cahill or Per Mertesacker <b>...</b>

With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

TaxProf Blog: 2011 Tax <b>News</b>

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...


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AOL Hires Fox <b>News</b> Vet To Double AOL.com Traffic By End Of Winter

This might actually be a smart move - the audience is exactly what "wtfinator" described. The news team there is often called out for leaning left in the comments on any stories posted on aol.com. Plays to their core. ...

Transfer <b>news</b>: Arsenal to move for Gary Cahill or Per Mertesacker <b>...</b>

With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

TaxProf Blog: 2011 Tax <b>News</b>

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...


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AOL Hires Fox <b>News</b> Vet To Double AOL.com Traffic By End Of Winter

This might actually be a smart move - the audience is exactly what "wtfinator" described. The news team there is often called out for leaning left in the comments on any stories posted on aol.com. Plays to their core. ...

Transfer <b>news</b>: Arsenal to move for Gary Cahill or Per Mertesacker <b>...</b>

With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

TaxProf Blog: 2011 Tax <b>News</b>

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...


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AOL Hires Fox <b>News</b> Vet To Double AOL.com Traffic By End Of Winter

This might actually be a smart move - the audience is exactly what "wtfinator" described. The news team there is often called out for leaning left in the comments on any stories posted on aol.com. Plays to their core. ...

Transfer <b>news</b>: Arsenal to move for Gary Cahill or Per Mertesacker <b>...</b>

With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

TaxProf Blog: 2011 Tax <b>News</b>

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...


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AOL Hires Fox <b>News</b> Vet To Double AOL.com Traffic By End Of Winter

This might actually be a smart move - the audience is exactly what "wtfinator" described. The news team there is often called out for leaning left in the comments on any stories posted on aol.com. Plays to their core. ...

Transfer <b>news</b>: Arsenal to move for Gary Cahill or Per Mertesacker <b>...</b>

With Squillaci and Vermaelen injured, Wenger admits a centre-back is a January priority.

TaxProf Blog: 2011 Tax <b>News</b>

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...

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